Wednesday, April 18, 2012

Hoisington Q1 2012 Letter

The standard of living of the average American continues to fall.  Real median household income today is near the same level as it was fifteen years ago, a remarkable statistic since the debt to GDP ratio is 100 points higher (Chart 1).  The cause of this deterioration in living standards can be traced to the excessive accumulation of debt, as well as the debt proportion that has turned increasingly unproductive, or even counterproductive.  When debt is utilized to finance nonproductive assets, an economic process is initiated that undermines prosperity.  Productivity gains must be generated in order to boost income, and thereby the standard of living.  If debt enhances productivity, incomes will expand and the economic pie will be enlarged.  Otherwise, the debt increase exercise is debilitating to economic growth....

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